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As preparations for the next phase of the Russo-Ukrainian war are underway, there is an ongoing discussion about the new shape of the security architecture in Europe. Inevitably, in addition to constructive ideas, threatening concepts are also emerging, which aim to hand Russia a… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662350645951705089
But let us begin by saying that Ukraine's victory over Russia must not be viewed as an end in itself. Russia seeks to change the security architecture in Europe by force—a method prohibited by international law. Ukraine is defending this architecture with the support of states… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662352382691270656
Several countries made the strategic mistake of underestimating Russia’s determination to achieve the revision of Europe's security architecture by force. The result was the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The lesson should guide us on how to deal with Russia in the future and what… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662354652510257154
For Russia, aggression against Ukraine is not only a means to subjugate this country but to force the establishment of an order in Europe based on the logic of spheres of influence. And let there be no doubt in anyone's mind. Russia claims its right to determine the borders of… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662357994347061250
In the ongoing debate about the political goals the free world should pursue in supporting Ukraine in repelling Russian aggression, some participants have forgotten Russia's goals and what Ukraine and its non-aligned allies are defending. Hence the ideas of freezing the conflict… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662386132632387584
For example, US analysts Richard Haass and Charles Kupchan of @CFR_org stress in their @ForeignAffairs piece that there shouldn’t be a formal recognition of the line of control between RUS and Ukrainian troops. However, the status of the land and people under Russian occupation… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662387565385637890
But there are also proposals for more clearly defined lines. Some UK Foreign Office clerks apparently would like to leave Russia in control of Crimea or put its future to an internationally recognised referendum. BTW, they propose a departure from the clear and admirable policy… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662389178418511873
As for the proposal to freeze the conflict, since our goal is to deny Russia the opportunity for another aggression, our fresh experience suggests that freezing the conflict is not a solution. It only gives Russia time to prepare for another aggression and pursue its political… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662394082042302466
The only off-ramp Russia can get is by stopping to try off-map its neighbours. Any attempts to freeze the conflict will only favour Russia and boost its determination to fight the wars. President @ZelenskyyUa knows this very well. He is, undoubtedly, the most experienced… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662397942114791425
This is not a war of territorial conquest. This war was started and is waged ruthlessly because Russia refuses to recognise Ukraine’s right to exist as a sovereign nation within its internationally recognised borders. You may rightly dismiss Vladimir Putin’s pretentious… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662399800463990786
Russia is a master at drawing lines on the map. So what the first commandment of Russian policy is? Draw no lines with the Russians! 1918 Treaty of Brest-Litovsk, Ribbentrop-Molotov Pact of 1939, Yalta in 1945 and Minsk Agreements clearly show that drawing lines does not bring… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662400415969824768
So in aiming to include Ukraine in a much better security system than the one offered to it in the framework of the Budapest Memorandum of 1994 and the NATO Summit in Bucharest, as well as in the Minsk Agreements, we must remember that it must be complementary to the NATO-based… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662403021370695681
Ukraine's interim security system must be treated as a mechanism for strengthening Ukraine's defence capabilities and determination to repel Russian aggression. It ultimately should serve the primary purpose, depriving Russia of the chance to resort to force again. They should… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662404530158329857
APPENDIX I👇👇👇
"This dangerous view of the future, therefore, not only draws questionable lessons from history but also manifests itself in cautious hedging that fails to learn from the Zeitenwende. It would be far better for Scholz to commit unequivocally to a Ukrainian… twitter.com/i/web/status/1662429739968081920
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