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November 2022 Newsletter: The Long-Term Fiscal Spiral

  • Article
  • Nov 20, 2022
  • #Economics #Finance
Lyn Alden
@LynAldenContact
(Author)
www.lynalden.com
Read on www.lynalden.com
2 Recommenders
2 Mentions
Modern fiat economies run on Keynesian economic theory- specifically the idea that a sovereign government and its central bank should act as a counter-cyclical force on the private... Show More

Modern fiat economies run on Keynesian economic theory- specifically the idea that a sovereign government and its central bank should act as a counter-cyclical force on the private sector to smooth it out.

In this framework, if the economy is performing very strongly, the government can run a fiscal surplus, which sucks some money out of the economy and can be used to build a reserve for weaker times. During recessions, the government can deploy those reserves and run fiscal deficits, or issue extra debt to run fiscal deficits (if they don’t have much reserves), and those deficits inject some money into the economy at a time of weakness and illiquidity, and serve as a stimulus.

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Preston Pysh @PrestonPysh · Nov 22, 2022
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A must read by Lyn.
Ilan Strauss @ilanstrauss · Nov 23, 2022
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Great post - U.S. economic historical overview from @LynAldenContact: The inverse historical correlation between i rates and debt to GDP makes sense. And shows the large deleveraging the world is in for...
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