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It looks like we enter historical moments of the collapse of Putin’s regime. Here are someindicators: 1. Putin’s health is deteriorating quickly. Leaving aside speculations, hard evidence is that only during past week PU cancelled several trips even within Russia, including 1/8
a highly important tank-producer UralVangonZavod in Nizhni Tagil. He also did not attend the launch of new Titanium producer Titan-Polimer plant in Pskov (North-Central Russia), which could give him extra points and good publicity he badly needs now after series of defeats 2/8
2. In his absence, race for power becomes obvious and – what is the worst – the government becomes ridiculous. Putin’s ‘avatar’ and ex-“president” Medvedev comes up with a new bizarre foreign policy programme envisaging imminent collpase of the West& U$D, rise of Asian 3/8
stock-markets, 19th century-style great power concert in Europe, partition of Ukraine. Overall, the dominant discourse of mysticism and esoteric delusions are pervasive in Russian imperial circles, with striking resemblance to what was happening in Hitler’s bunker in May 1945 4/8
or in Russian Tsar’s Palace of 1917. 3. In this situation, Russian Wagner-warlord Prigozhin escalates every day. Yesterday, Prigozhin attacked Commander of General Staff Gerasimov (Putin’s favourite general). Today, he sends his dispatches from frontline to call Medvedev and 5/8
his programme nothing else but ‘erotic fantasies’. 4. Russian army shows growing level of disobedience every day, including attacks of soldiers against commanders. Telegram: Contact @meduzalive. No doubt the army is far from collapsing. It keeps defence lines and can even 6/8
imitate an offensive in the East (Bakhmut).But the signs of fragility are persistent with sometimes entire batalions leaving the front or Russian governors coming to Ukraine to demand rotation for the troops affiliated with specific regions. 7/8
One of traditionally separatist regions in Russia - Tatarstand - has recently refused to abolish the post of President. Something that indicates that regions are prepared to openly challenge the Federal centre and Putin's authority. Clock is ticking...8/8 bb.lv/statja/v-mire/2022/12/22/tatarstan-otkazalsya-likvidirovat-dolzhnost-prezident-respubliki
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Jason Scott Montoya @JasonSMontoya
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Dec 29, 2022
- Curated in Russia's Crisis