Phillips P. OBrien

www.penguinrandomhouse.com

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Professor of Strategic Studies, University St Andrews, Author: How the War was Won, and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. Editor in Chief, War in History

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Article Jul 1, 2022

Ukraine Has Exposed Russia as a Not-So-Great Power

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Tweet May 2, 2022

Will provide an update on the Battle of the Donbas later, but reading between the lines of the Ukrainian military communique this morning, does really seem that Russian forward movement is bogging down and the Russians are almost scared to advance. w

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Tweet Apr 30, 2022

Battle of the Donbas seems to be already have turned into a battle of attrition that holds out almost no possibility of a major Russian victory and more likely will peter out in the next week or so because of unsustainable losses. https://t.co/l36qvr

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Tweet Apr 28, 2022

This is a point worth examining. We have lots of stress on what if Russia goes for societal mobilization now (normally by the way by those who argued that Russia would conquer Ukraine quickly). However, societal mobilization is not easy under the bes

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Tweet Apr 17, 2022

Now the weirdness---there is no surprise at all! Think about that. Its like preparing for a major, crucial engagement that might decide the war, and everyone knows exactly where it will happen, indeed Russian units are being tracked closely as they g

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Tweet Mar 22, 2022

The most interesting/important story of the morning in terms of how the war might develop. The Ukrainian military is claiming that the logistics crisis that the Russians have been operating under since the start of the war is reaching acute crisis. s

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Tweet Mar 12, 2022

Logistics Rule--look at the map. You might be wondering why the Russian invasion of Ukraine looks like a group of almost equidistant road-linked thrusts stretching from Russian and Belarus into Ukraine. (thanks to @Nrg8000 for this) https://t.co/VTLc

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Tweet Mar 7, 2022

Some ideas on the state of the war in Ukraine two weeks in, where it might be headed, and why it remains an unwinnable war for Russia which the Russians would be best to end soon or they face an extraordinarily bleak future. And why this is a lesson

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Tweet Mar 5, 2022

A tweet thread on why we are almost certainly overestimating the amount of strength the Russian Army has on hand, and the amount they can actually get to Ukraine when their first force losses get so high that it starts becoming combat ineffective. Ye

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Book Feb 1, 2015

How the War Was Won: Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II

by Phillips P. OBrien

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Phillips P. OBrien

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