President, @CSPICenterOrg. Fellow, Defense Priorities. Former @ColumbiaSIPA
@Newsweek Contributor.
Post pictures from books.
http://richardhanania.substack.com
Great thread. Science is mostly fake because people don’t want to admit we don’t have the tools to find small effects in the complexity of the real world. We should focus on making policy around big obvious facts that don’t need complex methods, a lot of low-hanging fruit there.
Good read. The view put forth of Iraq is correct, even less sympathetic than normal decision making because it was completely a crisis of choice. This captures the emotional and fast paced nature of decision making in crises, and how it can go wrong.
Anne Applebaum is worth reading not because she's insightful, but to see how self-deluded and lacking in self-awareness elites can be. Take this description of modern dictatorships, which are run by elite networks. Like this doesn't describe all regimes.
Great discussion of GDP, and why it’s pretty much useless for making comparisons over long time periods.