Kamil Galeev

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Galina Starovoitova Fellow @WoodrowWilsonCenter. MLitt in Early Modern History, St Andrews. MA in China Studies, Peking University

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Tweet Mar 9, 2022

Many argue that sanctions are "ineffective". That’s false. They are already highly effective in undermining Russian military efforts and can be made even more efficient. They can guarantee that Russia loses this war if they are goal-oriented and not

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Mar 9, 2022

Let's discuss Russian economy. Many underestimate its dependency upon technological import. Russia's so deeply integrated into Western technological chains that severing these ties will lead to its collapse. Sanctions are already effective and can be

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Feb 27, 2022

Why Russia will lose this war? Much of the "realist" discourse is about accepting Putin's victory, cuz it's *guaranteed*. But how do we know it is? I'll argue that analysts 1) overrate Russian army 2) underrate Ukrainian one 3) misunderstand Russia

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Sep 20, 2022

Regarding mobilisation, Putin can declare it, indeed. But it will be a risky decision. The USSR maintained a massive infrastructure for the total mobilisation which has been mostly dismantled in post-Soviet Russia. Mobilisation is more likely to trig

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Aug 6, 2022

Kremlin has a problem. Since it didn't declare war, it can't jail the military who just refuse to go to fight to Ukraine. But senior officers can add bad remarks to their personal files. Like this: "Inclined towards alcohol and drug abuse, towards t

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Jul 29, 2022

Regarding the video with a castration of a Ukrainian POW, comments from the Russian ДШРГ Русич may give some context to the story: "I have seen up to ten such clips. They're usually published 1-2 years after the events though to make perpetrators mo

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Jul 15, 2022

Wagner is founded by Evegeny Prigozhin, a St Petersburg businessman close to Vladimir Putin. Prigozhin either made his fortune in restaurant business or used restaurants as a cover. Later he would organise catering for the Russian leadership, so Prig

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Mar 26, 2022

How sanctions are killing Russia? Russia's falling. Old sanctions of 2014 sabotaged development of new innovative weaponry. New sanctions of 2022 are undermining Russian military efforts, destroying its technological chains and communications lines,

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Mar 20, 2022

Military casualties in Ukraine and the end of Russia as we know it Let's look on the list of killed Russian generals: Major-General Suhovetsky Major-General Gerasimov Major-General Kolesnikov Major-General Mityayev Lieutenant-General Mordvichev Maj

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Mar 15, 2022

Today I’ll suggest some specific measures to end this war. To start with, the very idea of deescalation as the ultimate goal is absolutely insane. It would mean repeating Napoleon’s mistake. Napoleon worked hard on deescalation – that’s why he lost a

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Mar 14, 2022

Now Russia is spiralling into the new Jubilee. Finance-wise, that's obvious. Sounds crazy, but since Russian invasion Ukrainian hryvna has been rapidly appreciating against ruble. In expectation of Jubilee people get rid of Russian currency asap. Mon

by Kamil Galeev

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Tweet Mar 13, 2022

How to defeat Putin? Many recognise the importance of coercive measures against Russia and necessity to give it a way out And yet, some presume that the way out should be given to Putin to force him to negotiate. That's a disastrous idea. There's n

by Kamil Galeev

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Kamil Galeev

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