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Tarek Mansour
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kalshi.com
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Founder at http://kalshi.com
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How high will inflation go? Forecasting it is an age-old problem. Prediction markets have forecasted inflation correctly 85% of the time. Far better than any other method. Here’s why it works and how you can take advantage:
by Tarek Mansour
Russia’s economy is melting in a way that we haven’t seen in recent history. This is uncharted territory for economic policy. Here’s what’s happening:
by Tarek Mansour
Did betting just get even better? Exchange startup @Kalshi allows you to place bets on everything, from the likelihood of the Fed raising rates to whether Olivia Rodrigo will have the most streamed song of the year. Kalshi CEO @mansourtarek_ talks t
by Tarek Mansour
Savvy traders accurately predicted (and profited from) Jerome Powell’s renomination. A thread on thinking in Bayesian terms and reading the news with skepticism:
by Tarek Mansour
Are you sick of inflation? Here's how you can trade directly against it:
by Tarek Mansour
Talk Your Book: Real World Betting Markets
by Michael Batnick
