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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

fooledbyrandomness.com
1780 Followers
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Essayist, mathematical statistician, former option trader, risk analyst, and aphorist. Work concerns problems of randomness, probability, and uncertainty.

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · Jul 23, 2022
  • From Twitter

I would consult with @IbeSaid who knows solid papers. He directed me to this one.

Paper 2019
Physical Activity and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Cohort Study in General Population
by Moo-Nyun Jin
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · Apr 19, 2022
  • From Twitter

Recommendation: I've learned from father/grandfather that there is no greater pleasure in life than a free-flowing conversation with an erudite person: 1) @holland_tom is about the most erudite person I've met West of the Alps, 2) His podcasts feel like a conversation.

Podcast
The Rest Is History
by Tom Holland and Dominic Sandbrook
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · Mar 25, 2022
  • From Twitter

Some truth by Rip @SS_strength. Principles: 1- You WILL NOT get stronger without getting body fat, forget the image of the steroid-laden "ripped". 2- Never work out body parts separately. 3- Never suffer fools gladly.

Podcast episode Mar 24, 2022
A Clarification
by Starting Strength
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · Feb 22, 2022
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One of deepest conversation you may ever listen to, betw @trishankkarthik & S. Wolfram. Touches on computational irreducibility as determining free will, the structure of the universe... Covers w/o knowing: ship of Theseus, mind-body & rigid designators! www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y6tKBXblzxQ

Video Feb 22, 2022
A random tawk with Stephen Wolfram
by Stephen Wolfram and Trishank Karthik Kuppusamy
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · Jan 23, 2022
  • From Twitter

Excellent post by @Balajis (rehabilitated himself). Contrary to perception, we are NOT sliding into bureaucratocontrolledtechnotyranny. The informational distortion of the net w/conspiracies makes us think we are being increasingly controlled while sliding into a vicious ANARCHY.

Article Dec 28, 2021
How We Changed Our Minds in 2021
by Balaji Srinivasan
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · Jan 7, 2022
  • From Twitter

Great work!

Tweet Jan 7, 2022
@nntaleb the breakdown of the peak submissions in the month of august is interesting... https://t.co/sxV2zcZNfR
by Diego Zviovich
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · Jul 12, 2021
  • From Twitter

I can confirm.
I spent ~7 hours watching the 8 episodes.

Series 2021
Clarkson's Farm (TV Series 2021– )
by Jeremy Clarkson
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · Mar 7, 2021
  • From Twitter

Remember that what will work in the future must not make a lot of sense now. A lot of what makes sense (in naive first order logic) has already been tried --and failed. @rorysutherland

Article Mar 1, 2021
Understanding Fat Tail Returns
by Michael Edesess
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · Jan 13, 2021
  • From Twitter

Beautiful thread. Entropy it is.

Tweet Jan 13, 2021
@engexplain @nntaleb 1/10 Science is assumed to be “evidence-based” but that term alone doesn’t mean much. What constitutes good evidence? How is evidence being used? Is it supporting or refuting a hypothesis? Was the hypothesis and experimental desi
by Sean McClure
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb · 2019
  • From Goodreads

‘A breakthrough book. Wonderfully applicable to everything in life, and funny as hell.’ Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Book 2019
Alchemy: The Surprising Power of Ideas That Don't Make Sense
by Rory Sutherland
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
  • From www.amazon.com

There is something admirable about the school of the Russians: they are thinkers doing math, with remarkable clarity, minimal formalism, and total absence of unnecessary pedantry one finds in more modern texts (in the post Bourbaki era). This is of course surprising as one would have expected the exact opposite from the products of the communist era. Mathematicians should be using this book as a model for their own composition. You can read it and reread it. Professors should assign this in addition to modern texts, as readers can get intutions, something alas absent from modern texts.

Book 1963
Mathematics: Its Content, Methods and Meaning
by Aleksandr Danilovich Aleksandrov and 2 others
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
  • From www.amazon.com

I read this book after completing my exposition of overcompensation, how a stressor or a random event causes an increase in strength, in excess of what is needed, like a redundancy. I was also looking for evidence of convex reaction to stressor, or the effect of a mathematical property called Jensen's inequality in domains and found it exposed here (in other words, why a combination low dose (most of the time) and high dose (rarely) beats medium dose all the time. The authors presents the evidence for the phenomenon in the following: 1) acute stressors cum recovery beat both absence of stressors and chronic ones (this includes thermal variations); 2) stressors make one stronger (post traumatic growth); 3) risk management is mediated by the deep structures in us, not rational decision-making; 4) winning causes an increase in strength (the latter are more complicated effects of convexity/Jensen's Inequality).
Great book. I ignored the connection to financial markets while reading it. But I learned that when under stress, one should seek the familiar.
Bravo!

Book May 1, 2012
The Hour Between Dog and Wolf: Risk Taking, Gut Feelings and the Biology of Boom and Bust
by John Coates
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